Since the 2008 disaster, the age of the Spanish park has not stopped rising, it is on its strategy to 13 years, and the measures proposed by the concessionaires’ employer, FACONAUTO, proceed to be ineffective in going to the root of the downside, the economic system.
Spain It has a automotive fleet that retains getting older. It was already an issue earlier than the COVID-19 pandemic, and it would proceed to be. It is the actuality, we could prefer it roughly. The distribution and after-sales sector is going to undergo in consequence: fewer new automobiles are bought, there are extra transfers of used automobiles and they undergo the storage much less.
Let’s have a look at this knowledge: at the finish of 2020, the Spanish vendor community ended with 464,300 used automobiles in inventory, of which 438,626 are conventional inside combustion and 25,674 are hybrids and electrical. In comparison with 2019, the inventory has grown 18% in numerical phrases, in response to Sumauto knowledge.
A part of the downside was accentuated with the flood of self-registrations in December, when sellers needed to license 1000’s of automobiles to fulfill model targets, and in flip you’re with Brussels, to scale back common CO2 and keep away from fines (or that have been much less necessary). They’re automobiles with out an proprietor in the brief time period.
As we’re recovering from the results of the third wave of the pandemic and well being knowledge returns to some ‘normality’, there is already an financial harm performed: greater than 600,000 jobs destroyed, confinements and journey restrictions, much less labor mobility resulting from teleworking … and that in observe what is paid for the registration tax has elevated.
Of these muds, these muds. Throughout the Congress & Expo of Faconauto, a digital occasion centered on professionals, extra knowledge has appeared to contextualize the scenario. The brand new passenger automotive market began the 12 months with a decline of greater than 50% in comparison with January 2020, which was a “regular” month.
The sellers’ employer, FACONAUTO, has requested numerous measures to extend gross sales this 12 months by as much as 100,000 models. Briefly, they’re these:
Rushing up the vaccination marketing campaign Supporting hybrids as transitional expertise A brand new Renove Plan that helps the buy of conventional gasoline / diesel A scrapping plan not linked to the buy of one other automotive Decrease buy taxes, particularly the VAT of plug-in and electrical hybrids Plus taxes on classic automotive forks
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Synthesizing, FACONAUTO desires the public authorities to assist them promote extra automobiles, and that these which are accumulating years are being withdrawn from circulation for numerous causes: they’re extra polluting, they’re much less protected … and one other weighty, that after-sales makes little cash with them.
In the graph above, made by Solera Spain, we see how the first and second waves of the pandemic triggered fewer automobiles to move by the workshops. Throughout the third wave, predictably, the similar will occur. A number of are the elements that designate these falls.
There is much less each day, sporadic, and long-distance mobility. As well as, the non-public automobile is getting used much less usually (though public transport has fallen extra and this causes the use of personal automobile), upkeep is stretched to the important for financial causes, and many others. Important use, important upkeep.
I very a lot doubt that the resolution to the downside comes from making life harder for many who can’t afford a brand new automobile. It additionally doesn’t occur as a result of whoever should purchase a brand new one and whoever doesn’t throw his personal and go by public transport or strolling, or by bicycle. It doesn’t seem to be a practical strategy to me.
As I mentioned on one other event, the scenario will final for a number of extra years, and the renovation of the park can be linked to the financial restoration. For this, mass vaccination is important, that the coronavirus stops conditioning the economic system, and that folks cease getting contaminated, getting sick and, in the excessive, dying.
Vaccination proper now doesn’t depend upon the Authorities if they aren’t going to enter extra doses from the pharmaceutical corporations. The economic system is deadly of its personal. It’s a must to take one other strategy, the economically unfavorable scenario will final a very long time, and you need to stay with it. Subsequently, new automobile gross sales must coexist with the right upkeep of older automobiles.
Vehicles with greater than 20 years parked on the road – Picture: Nacho (Flickr) CC BY
Provided that greater than two-thirds of Spanish passenger automobiles are greater than 10 years outdated, and that we’re speaking about automobiles which are often insured to 3rd events and undergo the crucial workshop (since the diminishing worth results in spending much less cash because it is price or no) we should promote the tradition of right upkeep.
If it is inevitable that we maintain older automobiles as a result of there is no cash for a brand new one, then no less than they’re nicely maintained. ITV, as they’re raised (and that for many who move them), are usually not sufficient. It’s a must to tighten the nuts a bit extra to enhance the upkeep of the park, in different phrases, harder MOT.
And what about expired ITV as a synonym for shares and the municipal deposit?
That mannequin works very nicely in Japan. The dreaded shaken or safety checks make the Japanese solely maintain outdated automobiles if they’re nicely cared forIf not, they’re scrapped or exported. You could possibly be a win-win for everybody: extra enterprise for workshops, decrease accidents, harmful scrap to dismantling … with out the want to extend motorist taxes, no matter you utilize.